03-20-2008, 07:11 PM
It appears they aged the fish. I'll buy what they are selling but it barely adds up.
Consider this: there is an extremely low probability that any of the 12000 fish stocked 25 years ago are even alive today. A low annual mortality rate of 35% leaves less than one fish (0.25 fish) alive 25 years later [in excel =12000*(EXP(-(-LN(1-0.35))*25))]. The chance that a remaining fish from this stocking event is a wildly stunted individual puts the probability off the charts...
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Consider this: there is an extremely low probability that any of the 12000 fish stocked 25 years ago are even alive today. A low annual mortality rate of 35% leaves less than one fish (0.25 fish) alive 25 years later [in excel =12000*(EXP(-(-LN(1-0.35))*25))]. The chance that a remaining fish from this stocking event is a wildly stunted individual puts the probability off the charts...
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